Amazon Is ValueAct Holdings’ Top Holding. Should You Buy?
Ticker: NASDAQ: AMZN 🛒☁️🤖
Price (Oct 29, 2025): $230.30 (+0.46%)
ValueAct didn’t just nibble—Amazon is ~15.3% of its portfolio, lifted by a massive +587.7% position increase in Q2. When a famously concentrated fund makes AMZN the headliner, it’s a signal worth a closer look.
Why Amazon Still Slaps in 2025 (in 5 emojis)
☁️ AWS = crown jewel. +17.5% YoY sales to $30.9B in Q2; operating income of $10.2B. AI demand, new Blackwell-powered EC2, Bedrock agents, and industry wins (PepsiCo, Airbnb, LSEG, SAP, etc.) keep the flywheel spinning.
🛍️ Retail re-accelerates. North America +11%, International +16% (11% ex-FX) with faster delivery (same/next-day push to 4,000+ towns), Nike storefront, and Prime Day records.
📺 Ads are the stealth profit driver. Prime Video sports slate + shoppable experiences + retail media = high-margin growth lane.
🤖 AI everywhere. Nova models, Strands agents, Kiro IDE, DeepFleet for robot routing, Vulcan robotics—AI reduces cost-to-serve and boosts conversion.
💵 Operating machine. Q2 operating income $19.2B, net income $18.2B; trailing 12-mo operating cash flow $121.1B.
👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Amazon (AMZN)'s financials here.
The Hedge Fund & Institutional Vote of Confidence 🧑💼🏦
Hedge fund whales on board (billions in AMZN): Baillie Gifford, Ken Fisher, Polen, Tiger Global, Berkshire, Sands, PRIMECAP.
Institutions hold ~66% of shares (and ~73% of float); Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, FMR are top owners. [Insiders own close to 10%.]
Short interest? ~0.77%—basically a rounding error for a mega-cap.
For Amazon (AMZN)'s Institutional Ownership breakdown, 🔍 see here.
Business Lines: Three Engines, One Platform
1) AWS (High-Margin, High-Moat)
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Generative AI services (Bedrock, AgentCore, S3 Vectors), enterprise migrations (Oracle Database@AWS), GPU scale with Grace Blackwell.
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Result: durable pricing power, expanding workloads, and services layered on top.
Investor decode: Cloud + AI = runway.
2) E-commerce & Logistics (Scale + Speed)
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Same/Next-Day expansion to smaller cities; improved AI demand forecasting (+20% accuracy).
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Better last-mile density lowers cost per order.
Investor decode: Operating leverage shows up as margin progress.
3) Advertising & Media (Margin Sweet Spot)
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Retail media and Prime Video ads monetize traffic without heavy inventory.
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Sports + prestige content expand reach; ads are accretive to consolidated margins.
Investor decode: Underappreciated cash machine.
The ValueAct Angle 🎯
Concentrated, activist-leaning fund puts AMZN at #1: they see multi-year margin expansion (ops efficiency + ads mix + AWS AI premium) and a platform that keeps creating optionality (health, payments, robotics, satellite). That combo is catnip for patient capital.
Valuation Vibes (High Quality ≠ “Cheap”)
AMZN isn’t a deep value stock—but quality growth at a reasonable price can still be compelling if:
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AWS sustains mid-to-high teens growth
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Ads compound double digits
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Retail margins keep creeping up with AI & logistics efficiencies
Tactic: Buy the dips. This name can be volatile around macro/AI cycles.
Risks & “What Could Break” 🔧🧯
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Regulatory heat: FTC case and global antitrust noise could force changes.
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Capex intensity: AI data centers/logistics spend could crimp FCF timing.
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Competition: Walmart/TEMU in retail; Azure/GCP in cloud; TikTok/Roku/Netflix in ads.
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Macro sensitivity: Consumer slowdown → retail & ads wobble.
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Valuation swings: Expectations are high; misses get punished.
💡💡💡 Curious about another deep oil exploration play?
Check our takes on UnitedHealth Group or even Oscar Health.
Quick Take / TL;DR ✂️
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Thesis: Platform compounding via AWS + Ads + AI-supercharged Retail.
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Why now: Strong recent performance, AI products shipping, institutional conviction, top holding at ValueAct.
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How to act: Long-term accumulate / buy on dips if you can stomach volatility.
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Watch: AWS growth cadence, ad margin mix, retail operating margin, capex vs. FCF.
FAQs 🍿
Q: Is AMZN “too big to grow”?
A: Growth is lower than start-up days, but the profit pools (AWS, ads) are expanding faster than revenue—EPS power can still scale.
Q: What’s the single biggest driver?
A: AWS + GenAI adoption. Enterprise AI workloads are early; services and tooling lift ARPU.
Q: How do ads fit?
A: Retail-media and streaming ads monetize existing attention—high incremental margins without new inventory risk.
Q: Where can the story surprise?
A: Robotics/automation COGS wins, Prime Video sports monetization, Kuiper, and enterprise AI agent adoption.
Q: How do I think about timing?
A: Consider a staggered entry / buy-the-dip plan; macro headlines often create windows.
Fun Corner (because even robots need coffee) ☕🤖
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Amazon’s “A to Z” now includes AI—which isn’t even a letter, it’s a profit center.
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Prime boxes move with DeepFleet—a brain for 1M+ robots. The shortest path to margins? Right this way.
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Alexa+ went from “What’s the weather?” to “Refactor my weekend…and my code.”
Bottom Line
Hard to dislike a platform with multiple compounding engines. If you want durable exposure to cloud + AI + retail media under one ticker, AMZN is still the set-it-and-review-it cornerstone. Just respect the risks, and keep dry powder for turbulence.
🧾⚠️📢 Fun(ny) Disclaimer: 🧾⚠️📢
🧫 Disclosure: Not investment advice. Markets can whiplash faster than a robot arm on a caffeine drip.
Always DYOR, hold the FOMO, and don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose. Also, keep your humor cells alive. 🧬😄
We laugh, we analyze, we meme. We sell jokes and opinions — and yes, we’re billing your sense of humor. 🎪💸
We’re not financial advisors. We’re FUNancial advisors.
Invest at your own risk. 💸💧
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