Ticker: NYSE: KO 🥤✨
Price (Oct-28-2025): $70.16 (+0.14%)
Dividend Yield: ~2.91%
Mood: Carbonated, with steady bubbles.
The Sparkle: A Fresh Insider Buy
Trigger: On Oct-23-2025, Max Levchin (yes, the PayPal co-founder and Affirm CEO) was newly elected to Coca-Cola’s board—and promptly bought 14,267 shares at ~$70 (filed Oct-27). That’s not a meme; that’s skin in the game. 🧾🧃
Why we care: insider buys don’t guarantee returns, but they signal confidence—especially when paired with a fortress brand, reliable cash flow, and a dividend crown that’s older than most fintechs. 👑
KO’s Engine: More Than Red Cans
Coca-Cola is a global beverage platform, not just soda: sparkling, water, sports drinks, coffee, tea, juices, value-added dairy, plant-based, concentrates, fountain syrups, and a franchise bottling system that compounds margins and moat.
Translation: it’s a cash-flow machine with geographic and category diversification. 🌍🧺
Still in the VIP section:
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Berkshire Hathaway owns ~400M shares (nearly 10% of total shares outstanding). Warren still likes the fizz. 🧠
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Short interest: ~0.86% (Oct-15-2025). Bears are barely sipping. 🐻🚫
Q3 2025: Numbers That Bubble Up
Quarterly highlights:
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Unit case volume: +1%
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Net revenue: +5% (organic +6%)
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Operating income: +59%; comparable operating margin ~31.9% (vs. 30.7%)
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EPS: $0.86 (+30%); comparable EPS $0.82 (+6%)
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Value share gained in total NARTD beverages
Why it matters: KO’s pricing power + portfolio breadth + franchise model helped expand margins even with currency headwinds and higher marketing spend. That’s defensive excellence. 🛡️💵
👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Coca-Cola (KO)'s financials here.
Outlook: Slow-and-Steady Wins the Sip
Guidance still says organic revenue +5% to +6% and comparable currency-neutral EPS ~+8% for 2025, with FX as a known headwind.
Free cash flow (ex-fairlife payment) ≥ $9.8B expected in 2025.
Also in motion: refranchising steps (Africa, India) to polish the franchise model. 🧩
Valuation: Not Cheap, Not Wild
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Trailing P/E: ~23–29x range over recent periods
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Forward P/E: ~20.5x
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EV/EBITDA: high teens
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Price/Sales: ~6x
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Price/Book: high single-digit
Read: KO isn’t a bargain bin stock—it’s a quality staple. You pay for (a) resilience, (b) distribution moat, (c) brand gravity, (d) dividend reliability. Buy on dips if you want the classic combo of lower beta + income. 📉➡️📈
Capital Returns: The Shareholder Soda Fountain
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Dividend King: 60+ consecutive annual hikes. 🏆
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Ongoing buybacks: repurchases continue (e.g., ~$81M in Q2’25) and a new ~$6B program through 2030 is in place to keep EPS and dividend math happy. 🧮🔁
Institutions: Room at the Table
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Insider ownership: ~9.88% (near 10%—robust)
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Institutions: ~65.7% of shares; 72.9% of float
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Holders: 4,200+ institutional investors
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Headliners: Berkshire Hathaway, Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Norges Bank.
Signal: Big, sticky, and long-term money likes KO. 🧳
For Coca-Cola (KO)'s Institutional Ownership breakdown, 🔍 see here.
Why KO Works (Even When Markets Don’t)
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Defensive consumption: “affordable indulgence” travels well through recessions.
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Omni-portfolio: if Sparkling is flat, Water/Sports/Tea/Dairy can pick up volume.
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Global system: local expertise + global scale = pricing power, muscle memory, and shelf presence.
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Cash flow: keeps the dividend flowing and buybacks humming. 💧
Risks (No Sugarcoating) 🍬🚫
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Health & regulation: sugar taxes, shifting preferences toward low/no sugar.
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FX swings: strong USD = translation headwinds.
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Inflation & consumer strain: pricing can only stretch so far before volumes feel it.
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Valuation: quality carries a premium; upside can be grind-y without multiple expansion.
💡💡💡 Curious about another deep oil exploration play?
Check our takes on UnitedHealth Group or even Oscar Health.
Quick Take / TL;DR 🧾
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Insider buy from new director Max Levchin adds a confidence nudge.
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Q3 delivered mid-single-digit organic growth, margin expansion, EPS up, FCF strong.
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Dividend King + buybacks = shareholder-friendly playbook.
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Valuation fair for quality; best on dips.
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Profile: steady, defensive compounder—not a moonshot. 🌙🚫
FAQs 💬
Q: Is KO a growth stock or an income anchor?
A: Mostly income anchor with modest growth. The magic is consistency: pricing power, global distribution, and a broad portfolio that smooths the ride.
Q: Does Max Levchin’s buy change the thesis?
A: Not by itself—but it’s a positive data point. Fresh tech-operator perspective on the board + insider purchase = constructive signal.
Q: What could derail the story?
A: Aggressive anti-sugar policy, persistent FX drags, or consumer fatigue if pricing outruns wallets. Also: execution risk in refranchising and portfolio reshaping.
Q: Dividend safety?
A: The track record is elite, supported by durable FCF. While nothing is guaranteed, KO is among the safer dividend franchises.
Q: Buy now or wait?
A: KO rarely looks “cheap.” DCA or buy on dips is a classic play for staples with moats and dividends.
Fun Corner (Because Bubbles Should Be Fun) 😄
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Pricing power? KO calls it “price/mix.” We call it “refill the margin.”
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“All-weather stock” isn’t just a phrase—it’s KO’s fizz. 🥤
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Bears are scarce; apparently they prefer root beer floats. 🐻🥤
Final Sip 🍹
If you want a defensive, dividend-paying anchor with a world-class brand and a long runway of cash returns, KO remains compelling—especially on dips. It won’t win a sprint, but it’s primed for the marathon.
🧾⚠️📢 Fun(ny) Disclaimer: 🧾⚠️📢
🧫 Disclosure: Not advice. Hydrate portfolios responsibly. 💧📈
Always DYOR, hold the FOMO, and don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose. Also, keep your humor cells alive. 🧬😄
We laugh, we analyze, we meme. We sell jokes and opinions — and yes, we’re billing your sense of humor. 🎪💸
We’re not financial advisors. We’re FUNancial advisors.
Invest at your own risk. 💸💧
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