
Target Bears Won’t Hit the Bull’s-Eye
TGT: $95.37 (-3.95%, as of Jun 13, 2025 @ 4:10 PM ET) 🎯
📉 Short interest: 3.56% (as of May 30, 2025) — not terrifying, but eyebrow-raising.
So… are bears onto something?
Maybe not.
😬 No Insider Buys in Sight... But Wall Street Still Believes
🧍♂️ Not a single insider has purchased Target stock in two years.
But institutions? 💼 They’re all in:
🔝 Top Institutional Holders
Holder | Shares | % of Shares Outstanding | Value |
---|---|---|---|
🏦 Vanguard Group | 44.8M | 9.87% | $4.28B |
🏦 State Street | 35.2M | 7.75% | $3.36B |
🏦 BlackRock | 35M | 7.71% | $3.34B |
💼 Schwab | 16M | 3.51% | $1.52B |
📊 FMR (Fidelity) | 12.6M | 2.78% | $1.21B |
Looks like somebody still believes in big red bullseyes.
🔍 For full Institutional Ownership breakdown, see here.
🧾 Target’s Financials: Stable but Sleepy
📅 Full-Year 2024 Highlights:
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📈 Comp sales: +0.1%
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💄 Beauty: Mid-single digit growth
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👗 Apparel & Essentials: Still growing
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👣 Traffic: +1.4% across stores and digital
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💰 GAAP & Adjusted EPS: $8.86
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💡 $2 billion in cost savings over two years (Note to self: $2 billion is not 0!)
🔮 Guidance for 2025:
-
🛍️ Sales growth: ~1%
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📉 Flat-to-slightly-better margins
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💵 GAAP/Adj. EPS: $8.80–$9.80 (Note to self: it's a lot money per share!)
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💳 Effective tax rate: 23–24%
So... modest expectations, not moonshots. 🚀
📦 Q1 2025 Update: Holding the Line
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💵 Net Sales: $23.8B (down slightly from $24.5B)
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💻 Digital sales: +4.7% (especially in same-day delivery + Target Circle 360™)
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🎯 Designer collab with Kate Spade = 🧨 best in a decade
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💸 GAAP EPS: $2.27 vs. $2.03 YoY (Not bad!)
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✂️ Adjusted EPS (ex-litigation gains): $1.30
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🚀 Launched “Acceleration Office” (yes, that’s a real thing) led by CFO Michael Fiddelke to speed up innovation
👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Target’s financials here.
🤔 Why the Doubts?
Because…
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🐢 Growth is sluggish. It's hard to move the needle at huge companies.
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📉 No big bottom-line breakout expected.
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🛍️ Fierce competition from Walmart, Amazon, Costco, dollar stores, drug stores, you name it.
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🐻 Bears aren’t exactly wrong to ask questions.
Interested in another investment idea?
Check our take on UnitedHealth Group.
🔄 But There’s a Bullish Case to Be Made
Here’s what the bulls are clinging to:
✅ Cheap-ish Valuation
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P/E: 10.91
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Price/Sales: 0.41
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EV/Revenue: 0.56
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EV/EBITDA: 6.69
✅ Solid Fundamentals
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Debt-to-equity: 1.27
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Qtrly debt ratio: ~103.5%
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Healthy margins and stable traffic
✅ Shareholder Rewards
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💵 4.59% Dividend yield
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💰 $251M in Q1 share buybacks at avg. $114.60
✅ Digital Delivery Growth
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Circle 360™ and Drive-Up booming 🚗💨
✅ Big Brand, Big Love
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Long-term brand loyalty
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Huge institutional support
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Still a go-to for millions of households
🎯 Final Take: Steady as She Shops
Target may not be flashy right now, but it’s solid. The shares are a contrarian play. No fireworks, no cliff dives. Just… dependability. And a reasonable shot at compounding returns from this discounted base.
Will it outperform the market? Quite possibly.
Will it completely implode? Not impossible, but highly unlikely.
So if you want a stock that won’t ruin your day and still pays you while you wait — 🎯 might be worth a look.
🧴 Disclaimer
We’re not bulls or bears. More like stock squirrels — gathering acorns of insight. 🌰💼
This is not financial advice. Just a stylish scan of the retail jungle.
🧭 Want More Like This?
👉 Browse our Insider Purchases Center
👉 Explore our Follow the Pundits Hub: When Big Bets Matter
👉 Check out our Young Guns & Turnaround Stocks
👉 Dive into Stock Market Humor & Serious-ish Plays
👉 International Investment Opportunities and value plays await here.
👉 For even older brands on new missions, explore our Corporate Resurrection Series. Nope, doesn't exist anymore.
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