Penn Entertainment: A Double-Down That’s Finally Paying Off?
🎰 Ticker: $PENN 🪙
Price: $17.80 (+4.13% as of Aug-13-2025, 4:00 PM ET)
🚀 Breakout Update (Aug 2025)
Penn stock has quietly pulled off a comeback worthy of a Vegas highlight reel—up more than 10% since our last piece three months ago. And the house isn’t the only one betting big: insiders and investors are still doubling down.
👤 Fresh Insider Buy Alert:
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David Handler (Director) just scooped up 20,000 shares @ $16.97 (Aug 8), dropping about $339K into the pot. That’s on top of his already large stake (362K+ shares owned). The pattern is clear: Penn’s brass keeps stacking chips when prices are low.
💰 Second Quarter Earnings Recap:
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Revenue: $1.77B (up from $1.66B YoY)
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Adjusted EBITDA: $236.1M (up from $212.1M YoY)
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Net Loss: -$18.3M (but narrower than last year’s -$27.1M)
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Retail casinos: $1.4B in revenues, EBITDAR margins still a healthy 33.8%
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Interactive division (ESPN BET + iCasino): record revenues at $316.1M, though still running a $62M EBITDA loss
🛠 Strategic Moves:
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$115M worth of shares repurchased YTD (goal: $350M for 2025).
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Convertible note repurchase shaved off 9.6M potentially dilutive shares—a smart move for shareholder value.
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Liquidity still solid at $1.2B, with net debt ~$2.1B.
🎯 The CEO’s Spin: Jay Snowden says omnichannel engagement is paying off—retail + digital together = stronger customers. ESPN BET keeps layering in new features (Player Insights + FanCenter for football season), while Hollywood iCasino keeps growing with 70% of revenues from new/re-activated users.
🧩 The Setup Now
So here’s where we stand:
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Stock’s up since May (despite recent retreat or consolidation) → momentum may be shifting.
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Insiders still buying → Handler joins Snowden in showing conviction.
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Financials mixed but improving → revenue growth, shrinking losses, strong property-level margins.
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Balance sheet cleaner → fewer convertible shares hanging overhead.
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Technical view → could be forming a “double bottom” (aka the big W 🟰) over the past 2 years.
In short: the contrarian bull case is gaining ground. Risks remain (competition, digital losses, regulatory unknowns), but this setup is looking more like an opportunity than a trap.
👉 Full May article below for the original deep-dive:
Penn Means No More Pain? Insiders Bet Big, and the Casino Isn’t the Only One Taking Bets...
Stock Ticker: PENN 🪙
Price: $15.08
Change: +0.42 (+2.86%)
As of: May 23, 2025, 4:00:00 PM ET
🔥 Insiders at the Table... Again and Again
Executives at Penn Entertainment are doubling down harder than a blackjack addict with a caffeine buzz. Here’s what recent insider buying looks like:
🧑💼 Insider Activity Highlights:
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Jay Snowden (CEO/Pres):
➕ 34,000 shares @ $14.70 = $499,766 (May 22)
➕ 54,200 shares @ $18.44 = $999,448 (Sept 3, 2024) -
David Handler (Director):
➕ 10,000 shares @ $14.83 (May 22)
➕ 40,000 shares @ $14.94 (May 29, 2024)
➕ 40,000 shares @ $15.61 (May 6, 2024) -
Others (incl. CFO + Directors) also showing bullish buys.
📈 Translation? Management seems to think the odds are finally shifting.
🏦 Institutional Chips Are In
Penn isn't just backed by its own brass. Institutions own 101.2% of the float. That’s right—more shares than actually exist, thanks to options and short lending.
🎓 Top Institutional Holders:
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BlackRock: 17.49M shares
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Vanguard: 16.25M
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HG Vora, DME Capital, Invesco, State Street...
🎰 When the pros are betting, you pay attention.
🔍 For full Institutional Ownership breakdown, see here.
🧠 The Business: More Than Just Slots & Shots
PENN isn’t your grandma’s smoky casino stock. It’s a 28-jurisdiction entertainment empire with major muscle in:
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🎲 Retail Casinos – Hollywood Casino®, L’Auberge®
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📱 Online Sports & iCasino – ESPN BET™, theScore™
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🧠 Tech Stack – Proprietary digital platform & in-house iCasino studio
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🎁 Loyalty Program – Over 32 million PENN Play™ members cashing in across digital and physical experiences
With ESPN and theScore in its corner, PENN is blending old-school and digital like a cocktail served in the metaverse.
💥 First Quarter 2025 Earnings Highlights
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Revenue: $1.67B (up YoY)
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Net Income: $111.5M (versus a loss in Q1 '24)
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Adjusted EBITDA: $173.3M
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Record iCasino Gaming Revenue despite sports betting losses
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$35M in Share Buybacks (aiming for $350M in 2025)
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Cash on Hand: $591.6M
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Debt: $2.1B
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Liquidity: $1.5B
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Forward P/E: 35.84 😬 (Not dirt cheap, but not a slot-machine jackpot either)
🃏 Key Insight: Online casino is growing fast, with standalone apps in Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Jersey & Ontario gaining traction.
👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Penn Entertainment’s financials here.
🧮 By the Numbers
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.67B | $1.61B | ⬆️ |
| Net Income | $111.5M | -$114.9M | 💥 Big Turnaround |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $173.3M | $101.4M | ✅ |
| EPS | $0.68 | -$0.76 | 🧮 |
| Share Buybacks | $35M YTD | – | 🔁 Ongoing |
⚠️ Risks to Watch Before You Bet It All
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🥊 Heavyweight competition from DraftKings, FanDuel, etc.
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💸 Consumer-sensitive business—a recession could fold the hand.
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🏈 ESPN BET still a wildcard—huge potential, unproven payoff.
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📉 Still down 90% from 2021 highs. Could be a bargain—or a mirage.
🧩 But Here’s Why It Could Work
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🎰 Focus on Higher-Margin iCasino is driving record results
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💼 Disciplined capital allocation with active buybacks
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🤝 Institutional and insider buying = strong confidence signal
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💵 Debt metrics improving after peaking pre-pandemic
- 🪙 Contrarian Setup – Losses contained, signs of a turnaround emerging
Interested in another investment idea?
Check our take on UnitedHealth Group.
🧂 Our Take
PENN’s stock has been painful—but insiders and institutions aren’t flinching. With digital growth, buybacks, and a bounce-back in profits, it might just be the turnaround you didn't see coming. But this is still Vegas, baby: bet responsibly. 🎲
📛 Disclaimer:
Not everything is a Penn in the Butt—but don’t bet the farm on a gut feeling.
We laugh, we analyze, we meme — we do not provide investment advice. It’s just a second opinion — and yes, we’re billing your sense of humor. 🎪💸
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