Follow the Pundits
Tag: contrarian investing
🎸 Michael Burry After Scion: His AI Short, 2027 Puts & New Value Picks 🐻📊
Michael Burry has moved beyond Scion Asset Management—but certainly not beyond contrarian investing. The Big Short investor is challenging the AI and semiconductor boom while simultaneously buying beaten-down companies including MercadoLibre, Birkenstock, Sprouts, QXO and Build-A-Bear. We examine his long-dated put strategy, current value picks, legendary research process—and the timing risk behind the Cassandra mystique.
🏠 Lennar (LEN): Berkshire's $212M Buy Meets a Brutal Housing Market 🛠️📉
Berkshire Hathaway just added roughly $212 million of Lennar near $77 after a difficult Q3 sent investors running from the homebuilder. With LEN trading around 0.85x book value, record 116-day construction cycle times and 9.5% short float—but falling orders, compressed margins and punishing mortgage rates—is Berkshire buying into the housing cycle too early, or exactly when a patient value investor should?
🚗 Group 1 Automotive (GPI): A $40.6M Hedge Fund Buy, 6× Forward P/E—and the Car Loan Crunch
Group 1 Automotive has fallen roughly 41% from its peak, earnings are weakening and auto affordability is under pressure. Yet Conifer Management just bought another $40.6 million of GPI near $290. With the stock around 6× forward earnings, a powerful service business and a $1.7 billion Hennessy expansion ahead, is this falling knife becoming a bargain?
🏰 The Baupost Restoration: Seth Klarman's Cash Castle, The 4% Drag, and the Largest Restructuring in 42 Years
One of history's greatest value investors has spent the last decade disappointing Wall Street. Yet with a massive cash reserve, a major restructuring, and growing bets on Amazon and Aon, Seth Klarman's Baupost Group may be preparing its next act.
Michael Burry Has 38% of His Portfolio in Lululemon: Time To Wear The Pants?
Michael Burry just made Lululemon a top portfolio holding. With valuation down, buybacks up, and shorts watching — is it time to wear the pants?
Insiders Are Buying Under Armour: Strong Suit or Skip the Knight-Mare?
Under Armour trades over 90% below its all-time high—but insiders are buying aggressively. Is this a rare turnaround opportunity or a classic value trap? Let’s break it down.
New CEO and Activist Corvex’s Keith Meister Buy Vestis; Expect Profits or Casual Tees?
A new CEO with UPS DNA, millions in insider buys, and activist hedge fund Corvex circling… Vestis stock checks many contrarian boxes. But high leverage and a slow turnaround mean this is not for the faint of heart. 👕📈
Paulson & Co Keeps Adding to His Bausch Health Stake: Should Investors See Eye to Eye With Him?
Billionaire John Paulson now owns nearly 19% of Bausch Health — and he keeps buying. With improving earnings, low valuation, and high risk, BHC may be a speculative value play worth watching.
Carl Icahn Buys More Monro: Time to Load Up on MNRO—or Tap the Brakes?
Carl Icahn just topped off his tank with more Monro stock. The auto repair chain is shifting gears with a turnaround plan—but will it drive profits or hit a pothole? 🚗💡
OpenAI Likes Etsy. Renaissance, Elliott, and AQR Do Too. Should You?
Etsy’s stock soared after OpenAI’s “Buy it in ChatGPT” debut—plus Wall Street whales are piling in. Here’s why Etsy might be a handmade bargain with AI sparkle.