Ticker: KDP ☕ 
Price: $27.23 ▼ –0.36 (–1.30%)
As of Sep 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET

🚨 Trigger: Insider Brews Are Bubbling

Nothing says “I believe” quite like executives reaching into their own pockets. A few recent moves worth noting:

• 👔 Eric Gorli (Pres, US Refreshment Bev.) grabbed 9,175 shares at $27.69. That’s not just a sample-size latte. He now owns 80,432 shares.

• 🧾 Michael Van De Ven (Dir) poured 15,000 shares at $33.20 back in June. First sip, first round.

• 🏦 Jab Bevco B.V. (10% Owner) made a grande-sized order: 3.6M shares in January at $33.34. Value? $120M+. That’s a lot of espresso shots.

Insiders don’t buy for fun — they buy because they see a perkier future.

🏦 Institutional Pack — Wall Street Likes the Blend

If insiders are brewing at home, institutions are stocking the shelves.

📊 Institutional ownership: 95.3% of shares. Float ownership: 100.3%. (Yes, somehow more shares than exist. Wall Street math again. 🧮)

Top institutional holders:

• 🐂 Vanguard: 159M shares (up 10%)

• 🐂 Capital World: 130M shares (up 14%)

• 🐂 BlackRock: 113M shares (up 15%)

• 🐂 JPMorgan: 69M shares (up 77%!)

• 🐂 Invesco: 31M shares (up 43%)

Looks like Wall Street is ordering by the case.

For Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)'s Institutional Ownership breakdown, 🔍 see here

🏭 What KDP Actually Does (Besides Stock Drama)

KDP isn’t just about pods and Dr Pepper cans. The empire includes Snapple, Canada Dry, Green Mountain, A&W, Yoo-Hoo, Bai, Electrolit, Vita Coco, Swiss Miss, and even Starbucks/Dunkin’ collaborations.

📦 Distribution spans supermarkets, clubs, e-commerce, restaurants, hotels, and direct-to-consumer via Keurig.com.
Basically: if you’ve sipped it, KDP probably brewed it, bottled it, or owns part of it.

📈 Q2 2025 Results — The Brew Report

• Net Sales: $4.16B (+6.1% Y/Y) ☕

• Adjusted Net Income: $673M (+10.5% Y/Y)

• Adj. EPS: $0.49 (+11.1% Y/Y)

• Operating Cash Flow: $431M

• Free Cash Flow: $325M

CEO Tim Cofer: “We’re on track, growth in beverages + coffee rebounding, International strong.”

Translation: Smooth quarter, no sugar crash.

📊 2024 Recap — Perspective Shot

• Net Sales: $15.4B (+3.6% Y/Y)

• Adj. EPS: $1.92 (+7.8% Y/Y)

• Free Cash Flow: $1.7B (+82% Y/Y)

• Acquisitions (GHOST energy, Electrolit partnership) boosted volumes.

• Productivity gains supported reinvestment AND shareholder returns.

KDP may not be hyper-growth like Celsius or Monster, but it’s been a slow-brew compounder.

👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)'s financials here.

🌍 Mega Deal: KDP Acquires JDE Peet’s

In Aug 2025, KDP shocked markets with an all-cash $15.7B acquisition of JDE Peet’s (global coffee giant).

☕ Plan:

1. Acquire JDE Peet’s → Create world coffee champion (serving 100+ countries).

2. Split into two new firms:

   • “Beverage Co.” (North American refreshment champ).

   • “Global Coffee Co.” (pure-play coffee powerhouse).

Translation: they’re brewing a two-for-one spinoff special. 🍩

💰 Valuation — Not Bitter, Not Sweet

KDP stock trades ~30% below ATH of $41.31 (Aug 2022). Current metrics:

• Forward P/E: 12.5 (cheap-ish for stable beverages).

• PEG Ratio (5yr): 0.67 (under 1 = bargain signal).

• Price/Sales: 2.35 (reasonable).

• Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 15.9 (not too frothy).

Fair value? Slightly cheap, but not a fire sale.

⚠️ Risks — The Spilled Coffee List

• Debt load: Huge after Peet’s acquisition → more interest costs.

• Goodwill risk: Write-downs possible if brands underperform.

• Integration mess: Merging Peet’s + splitting KDP = logistical circus. 🎪

• Retailer dependence: Walmart, Costco, Amazon = too few shelves.

• Commodity risk: Coffee bean prices up → margin squeeze.

• Competition: Coke, Pepsi, Nestlé, Starbucks don’t sleep.

• Insider selling: Yes, some big sells recently. Not everyone bullish.

💡💡💡 Curious about another deep oil exploration play?
Check our takes on UnitedHealth Group or even Oscar Health.

🐾 FAQs

Q: Why are insiders buying now?
A: Likely think shares are undervalued after falling 30% from 2022 highs. Or maybe they’re just addicted to their own product.

Q: What’s the deal with institutions owning >100% of float?
A: Blame shorting, lending, and Wall Street math. Don’t try this at home.

Q: Will the JDE Peet’s deal really help?
A: If executed well, yes. If not, it could become a jittery headache.

Q: Is KDP a growth rocket like Celsius?
A: Nope. Think steady drip coffee, not an energy drink sugar rush.

⚡ Quick Take / TL;DR

• Insiders brewing confidence with recent buys.

• Institutions stacked heavy (100%+ float ownership).

• Q2 results: steady, profitable, caffeine-fueled.

• Mega coffee acquisition + split planned → could perk up growth.

• Valuation: fair-to-cheap, not bargain-basement.

• Risks: debt, integration, competition.

👉 Verdict: KDP is less Monster rocket 🚀, more reliable Keurig drip ☕. If you like steady dividends (currently 3.33%) and long-term (decent so far) compounding, this blend might suit your taste.

🧾⚠️📢 Disclaimer: 🧾⚠️📢

We love coffee too—but we don’t mind tea now and then. Investing in Keurig Dr Pepper may still get bumpy. 🎢

Always DYOR, hold the FOMO, and don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose.

We laugh, we analyze, we meme. We sell jokes and opinions — and yes, we’re billing your sense of humor. 🎪💸 
We’re not financial advisors. We’re FUNancial advisors. 

Invest at your own risk.

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