Centene stock represented as a patient monitor line bouncing off the lows, with a stethoscope over a red SALE tag — symbolizing insider buying amid financial troubles.

Centene (CNC): CEO Buys at $25, Earnings Bleed Red, and the Stock’s on Life Support — Bargain or Bust?

💉 $25.25, -1.33% as of Aug-11-2025 🩸💰


🚨 Insider Lifeline: CEO & Director Open Wallets

In the middle of a tough quarter, Centene’s top brass just swiped their corporate AmEx for a little self-care investing:

Trade Date Insider Role Price Shares Value Δ Ownership
2025-08-08 Sarah London CEO $25.50 +19,230 $490K +2%
2025-07-28 Theodore R. Samuels II Director $27.62 +9,000 $249K +22%

💡 Translation: They’re buying at levels not seen since the pre-AirPods era. Either they see deep value… or they’re stocking up on Tums.

Can Centene Get Any Cheaper Than This?

Insiders had already bought at more than double the current price just about six months ago… and we’ve got receipts. 👇

📦 The Insider Box Score

Back in Dec 2024, directors and executives went on a shopping spree around $59–60 per share:

  • 🧠 Thomas Greco (Dir): $1.02M @ $59.75

  • 📊 Andrew Asher (CFO): $1.0M @ $58.14

  • 👩💼 Sarah London (CEO): $250K @ $60.80

  • (And others — all above $58/share)

Today? Shares are less than half that. Bargain-bin Centene, anyone?

 

Centene Insider Purchases: Value In Millions USD (2024)

Bar chart showing Centene insider buys exceeding $3M around $60/share in 2024.


🧠 Institutions Think Math Is Optional

Institutions own more than 100% of the float. That’s not a typo.
It’s Wall Street’s version of:

“We believe in this stock so much… we’ll borrow shares we don’t have.”

  • 🧢 Vanguard: 57.5M shares

  • 🎩 BlackRock: 45.2M shares

  • 💼 FMR, Norges Bank, State Street… they’re all in.

🔍 For Centene (CNC)'s Institutional Ownership breakdown, see here


🩺 Q2 2025: The Check-Up (Spoiler: Needs a Second Opinion)

The Good

  • Premium & service revenues: $42.5B (+18% YoY) 📈

  • PDP & Marketplace growth + Medicaid rate hikes = big top-line gains.

  • Cash flow from ops: $1.8B 💵

The Bad

  • GAAP EPS: -$0.51 😬

  • Adjusted EPS: -$0.16

  • Health Benefits Ratio: 93% (vs. 87.6% last year) — meaning more cash going to patient care and less to profits.

The Ugly 🤢

  • Medicaid & Marketplace costs surging (behavioral health, home care, expensive drugs 💊💸).

  • Marketplace risk adjustment revenue drop = earnings migraine.

  • Medicare Advantage premium deficiency reserve increase.

👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Centene (CNC)'s financials here.


📉 Valuation: From Blue Chip to Bargain Bin

Centene’s market cap has been cut by more than half in a year:

Metric Now 1 Year Ago
Market Cap $12.4B $35.4B
Price/Book 0.45 1.29
Price/Sales 0.07 0.23
EV/EBITDA 2.70 5.94

Thrift-store pricing — but beware: goodwill impairments and industry storms could make it cheaper before any bounce.


🐻 Bear Case: Why This Could Get Uglier

  • Guidance cuts = investor indigestion.

  • Medicaid redeterminations slicing enrollments.

  • Healthcare cost inflation making risk models look like fortune cookies.

  • Competitors (UNH, ELV) are also limping — sector-wide fever.

💡💡💡 Curious about another deep oil exploration play?
Check our takes on UnitedHealth Group or even Oscar Health.


🐂 Bull Case: Why This Could Be a Buy

  • CEO & Director just bought in.

  • Institutions own over 100% of the float (thanks, short lending).

  • Technical support around $25 — same lows from 2015–2016.

  • Valuation is more compelling.

🎯 Prognosis: High Risk, High Reward

Centene isn’t on hospice care, but it’s not running marathons either.

If you’re bold: Take a starter position, scale only if recovery signs show.
If you’re cautious: Wait for an uptrend — value traps can look like value feasts until they give you food poisoning.


💬 Verdict:
Centene is in the ER. The vitals are shaky, but the patient still has a pulse, a loyal institutional family, and a CEO willing to buy the dip. Recovery’s possible… but you’ll need patience and maybe a strong stomach.


🚨 Disclaimer:

This article is for entertainment and information only. We write crisply but we’re not licensed to prescribe stocks. Your portfolio, your call. Do your own research or consult a gene-edited financial advisor. 😄


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