
GAMCO Investors Is Full of Winners — Except Paramount (PARA): Why This One Dud Might Finally Shine
🎬 🍿 Paramount Global (PARA: $12.77, +1.27%) might feel like yesterday’s Hollywood dream, but is Mario Gabelli’s patience about to pay off? Spoiler alert: it might. 🎥
Paramount Global is the epitome of fun — on-screen and off. The studio-turned-media-mogul delivers entertainment through three star-studded divisions:
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🎭 TV Media: Home to CBS, Comedy Central, MTV, BET, Nickelodeon, and Showtime — and international darlings like Channel 5 (UK), Telefe (Argentina), and Network 10 (Australia).
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📱 Direct-to-Consumer (DTC): Paramount+, Pluto TV, and BET+ — a streaming trifecta.
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🎞️ Filmed Entertainment: Paramount Pictures, Miramax, Nickelodeon Studios, and even Sonic the Hedgehog.
Formerly ViacomCBS (remember that?), Paramount changed its name in 2022, aiming for a streaming-first future. But in stock market terms, it’s been more Beverly Hills flop than Wall Street hit. 💸
🎩 Institutional Power Players Still Believe
Despite trading almost 90% below its 2021 all-time high of $101.97 (ouch!), 80.56% of Paramount’s float is still held by institutions — including serious titans like Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street.
🧐 That’s not small change — that’s belief in a future blockbuster.
Holder |
Shares |
% Out |
Value |
Vanguard Group Inc |
68.12M |
10.75% |
$869,884,028.00 |
State Street Corporation |
50.15M |
7.92% |
$640,377,825.00 |
Lingotto Investment Management LLP |
45.83M |
7.24% |
$585,289,499.00 |
Blackrock Inc. |
41.99M |
6.63% |
$536,164,138.00 |
Invesco Ltd. |
18.48M |
2.92% |
$235,979,405.00 |
Geode Capital Management, LLC |
15.81M |
2.50% |
$201,837,838.00 |
Ariel Investments, LLC |
14.22M |
2.24% |
$181,528,800.00 |
Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd |
13.91M |
2.20% |
$177,623,529.00 |
🔍 For full Institutional Ownership breakdown, see here.
📈 Mario Gabelli’s GAMCO: A Portfolio of Moonshots… Except PARA?
If you don’t know Mario Gabelli, meet the man who bought his first stock at 13 and now manages billions.
His GAMCO portfolio is a masterclass in value investing. Just check out these bangers:
🎯 Stock | 💰 Buy Price | 📊 Return | 🔥 Current Price |
---|---|---|---|
Sony | $18.99 | +458.1% | $106.01 |
Crane Co | $31.87 | +486.3% | $186.84 |
Mueller Industries | $14.46 | +492.1% | $85.62 |
Watts Water Tech | $28.79 | +796.7% | $258.16 |
Ametek | $17.16 | +957.2% | $181.44 |
American Express | $41.38 | +686.0% | $325.24 |
Rollins (yes, pest control!) | $3.85 | +1345.3% | $55.62 |
And then… there’s Paramount 🫣
Gabelli holds onto Paramount’s Class A and Class B like a true believer, even as Warren Buffett quietly exited stage left. 🎭 Why?
🎟️ Paramount+ Is Streaming in the Right Direction
Let’s look past the glitter and focus on the guts:
📅 FY 2024 Earnings Recap:
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Paramount+ revenue up 33%
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10M new subscribers (total: 77.5M)
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DTC Adjusted OIBDA improved $1.2B 💪
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Free cash flow up to $489M
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Cost savings of $500M reached
Streaming momentum is real. And it's not just a one-quarter fluke.
📅 Q1 2025 Highlights:
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Paramount+ up to 79M subscribers
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Churn down, watch time up 17%
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Net income flipped positive: $152M vs ($554M) a year ago
🎬 Filmed Entertainment: Back in the Spotlight
Who needs Oscar buzz when you’ve got box office hits like:
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Sonic the Hedgehog 3 🦔 — nearly $500M global
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Gladiator II 🛡️ — crossed $460M
-
Smile 2 😬 — debuted at #1 globally
Filmed Entertainment revenue jumped 67% YoY in Q4. That’s not popcorn change.
📉 TV Media: Still a Drag
While CBS and Yellowstone keep topping the charts, linear TV is showing its age:
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📉 TV Media revenue down 4%
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📉 Advertising and subscription revenue down
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📉 Adjusted OIBDA down 17%
SpongeBob may still be king of kids’ TV, but Nickelodeon alone can't save the entire ship. ⚓
📊 The Numbers Are a Bit… Ouch
Yes, we’ll be honest. For all the streaming hype:
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Q4 2024 net loss: ($224M)
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FY 2024 net loss: a jaw-dropping ($6.19B)
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EPS for 2024: ($9.34) per share
💡 Reminder: That’s B for billion, not M for maybe. Paramount’s still bleeding cash — but slowing the bleed, or perhaps reversing it altogether.
💵 Valuation: A Discount Bin or Hidden Gem?
Let’s talk valuation:
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P/E (forward): 9.93 🧮
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P/S ratio: 0.30 🤯
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P/B: 0.52 🚪 (yes, trading at half book!)
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EV/Revenue: 0.76
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EV/EBITDA: 23.71 😬 (not great, not terrible)
Translation: this is cheap — but not for the faint of heart.
👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Paramount's financials here.
🍏 Will Apple Buy PARA? A Hollywood Ending?
Crazy idea? Maybe. But hear us out:
Apple’s streaming ambitions lag Netflix and Prime. What if Cupertino decides it’s time to level up — and buys Paramount’s IP goldmine?
Think Mission: Impossible, Interstellar, Titanic, Transformers, Forrest Gump…
Would Tim Cook trade iPhones for Indiana Jones? Probably not.
But… what if?
🤔 So, Why Is Gabelli Still Holding?
Because value investors buy what the market hates — not what it loves.
Gabelli sees:
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Brand power and streaming growth
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Deep institutional ownership
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A possible turnaround (hello, Skydance merger 🎭)
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An absurdly low valuation
⚠️ Risks? Absolutely.
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🧩 Will Skydance merger close smoothly?
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📉 Will TV Media keep declining faster than DTC grows?
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🎬 Will Filmed Entertainment remain volatile?
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💵 Will costs stay under control?
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😇 Will investors accept a measly 1.5% dividend while Tom Cruise makes 8 figures?
💡💡💡 Curious about another deep oil exploration play?
Check our takes on UnitedHealth Group or even Oscar Health.
🧠 Final Thought: Bet Like a Value Investor or Watch the Credits?
Gabelli’s bet on Paramount isn’t just about numbers — it’s about narrative. A cheap stock with a streaming future, iconic IP, and a potential M&A catalyst?
Maybe. Just don’t expect the sequel to be as fast as Sonic.
👉 Paramount might finally be ready for its redemption arc. But like any good drama, there’ll be tension.
🎬 Stay tuned.
🚨 Disclaimer:
We love Wall Street (the movie), but Paramount didn’t produce it — 20th Century Fox did. This is not financial advice. It’s just a second opinion — and yes, we’re billing your sense of humor. Please invest responsibly. Or irresponsibly, but don’t say we didn’t warn you. 😉
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