Illustration of a movie theater marquee reading “Paramount Comeback?” with popcorn, stock charts, and streaming icons (like a play button and Wi-Fi signal), symbolizing the battle between traditional media and digital disruption.

GAMCO Investors Is Full of Winners — Except Paramount (PARA): Why This One Dud Might Finally Shine

🎬 🍿 Paramount Global (PARA: $12.77, +1.27%) might feel like yesterday’s Hollywood dream, but is Mario Gabelli’s patience about to pay off? Spoiler alert: it might. 🎥

Paramount Global is the epitome of fun — on-screen and off. The studio-turned-media-mogul delivers entertainment through three star-studded divisions:

  • 🎭 TV Media: Home to CBS, Comedy Central, MTV, BET, Nickelodeon, and Showtime — and international darlings like Channel 5 (UK), Telefe (Argentina), and Network 10 (Australia).

  • 📱 Direct-to-Consumer (DTC): Paramount+, Pluto TV, and BET+ — a streaming trifecta.

  • 🎞️ Filmed Entertainment: Paramount Pictures, Miramax, Nickelodeon Studios, and even Sonic the Hedgehog.

Formerly ViacomCBS (remember that?), Paramount changed its name in 2022, aiming for a streaming-first future. But in stock market terms, it’s been more Beverly Hills flop than Wall Street hit. 💸


🎩 Institutional Power Players Still Believe

Despite trading almost 90% below its 2021 all-time high of $101.97 (ouch!), 80.56% of Paramount’s float is still held by institutions — including serious titans like Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street.

🧐 That’s not small change — that’s belief in a future blockbuster.

Holder

Shares

% Out

Value

Vanguard Group Inc

68.12M

10.75%

$869,884,028.00

State Street Corporation

50.15M

7.92%

$640,377,825.00

Lingotto Investment Management LLP

45.83M

7.24%

$585,289,499.00

Blackrock Inc.

41.99M

6.63%

$536,164,138.00

Invesco Ltd.

18.48M

2.92%

$235,979,405.00

Geode Capital Management, LLC

15.81M

2.50%

$201,837,838.00

Ariel Investments, LLC

14.22M

2.24%

$181,528,800.00

Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd

13.91M

2.20%

$177,623,529.00

🔍 For full Institutional Ownership breakdown, see here


📈 Mario Gabelli’s GAMCO: A Portfolio of Moonshots… Except PARA?

If you don’t know Mario Gabelli, meet the man who bought his first stock at 13 and now manages billions.

His GAMCO portfolio is a masterclass in value investing. Just check out these bangers:

🎯 Stock 💰 Buy Price 📊 Return 🔥 Current Price
Sony $18.99 +458.1% $106.01
Crane Co $31.87 +486.3% $186.84
Mueller Industries $14.46 +492.1% $85.62
Watts Water Tech $28.79 +796.7% $258.16
Ametek $17.16 +957.2% $181.44
American Express $41.38 +686.0% $325.24
Rollins (yes, pest control!) $3.85 +1345.3% $55.62

And then… there’s Paramount 🫣

Gabelli holds onto Paramount’s Class A and Class B like a true believer, even as Warren Buffett quietly exited stage left. 🎭 Why?


🎟️ Paramount+ Is Streaming in the Right Direction

Let’s look past the glitter and focus on the guts:

📅 FY 2024 Earnings Recap:

  • Paramount+ revenue up 33%

  • 10M new subscribers (total: 77.5M)

  • DTC Adjusted OIBDA improved $1.2B 💪

  • Free cash flow up to $489M

  • Cost savings of $500M reached

Streaming momentum is real. And it's not just a one-quarter fluke.

📅 Q1 2025 Highlights:

  • Paramount+ up to 79M subscribers

  • Churn down, watch time up 17%

  • Net income flipped positive: $152M vs ($554M) a year ago


🎬 Filmed Entertainment: Back in the Spotlight

Who needs Oscar buzz when you’ve got box office hits like:

  • Sonic the Hedgehog 3 🦔 — nearly $500M global

  • Gladiator II 🛡️ — crossed $460M

  • Smile 2 😬 — debuted at #1 globally

Filmed Entertainment revenue jumped 67% YoY in Q4. That’s not popcorn change.


📉 TV Media: Still a Drag

While CBS and Yellowstone keep topping the charts, linear TV is showing its age:

  • 📉 TV Media revenue down 4%

  • 📉 Advertising and subscription revenue down

  • 📉 Adjusted OIBDA down 17%

SpongeBob may still be king of kids’ TV, but Nickelodeon alone can't save the entire ship. ⚓


📊 The Numbers Are a Bit… Ouch

Yes, we’ll be honest. For all the streaming hype:

  • Q4 2024 net loss: ($224M)

  • FY 2024 net loss: a jaw-dropping ($6.19B)

  • EPS for 2024: ($9.34) per share

💡 Reminder: That’s B for billion, not M for maybe. Paramount’s still bleeding cash — but slowing the bleed, or perhaps reversing it altogether.


💵 Valuation: A Discount Bin or Hidden Gem?

Let’s talk valuation:

  • P/E (forward): 9.93 🧮

  • P/S ratio: 0.30 🤯

  • P/B: 0.52 🚪 (yes, trading at half book!)

  • EV/Revenue: 0.76

  • EV/EBITDA: 23.71 😬 (not great, not terrible)

Translation: this is cheap — but not for the faint of heart.

👉 Want the full picture? Dive into Paramount's financials here.


🍏 Will Apple Buy PARA? A Hollywood Ending?

Crazy idea? Maybe. But hear us out:

Apple’s streaming ambitions lag Netflix and Prime. What if Cupertino decides it’s time to level up — and buys Paramount’s IP goldmine?

Think Mission: Impossible, Interstellar, Titanic, Transformers, Forrest Gump…

Would Tim Cook trade iPhones for Indiana Jones? Probably not.

But… what if?


🤔 So, Why Is Gabelli Still Holding?

Because value investors buy what the market hates — not what it loves.

Gabelli sees:

  1. Brand power and streaming growth

  2. Deep institutional ownership

  3. A possible turnaround (hello, Skydance merger 🎭)

  4. An absurdly low valuation


⚠️ Risks? Absolutely.

  • 🧩 Will Skydance merger close smoothly?

  • 📉 Will TV Media keep declining faster than DTC grows?

  • 🎬 Will Filmed Entertainment remain volatile?

  • 💵 Will costs stay under control?

  • 😇 Will investors accept a measly 1.5% dividend while Tom Cruise makes 8 figures?

💡💡💡 Curious about another deep oil exploration play?
Check our takes on UnitedHealth Group or even Oscar Health.


🧠 Final Thought: Bet Like a Value Investor or Watch the Credits?

Gabelli’s bet on Paramount isn’t just about numbers — it’s about narrative. A cheap stock with a streaming future, iconic IP, and a potential M&A catalyst?

Maybe. Just don’t expect the sequel to be as fast as Sonic.

👉 Paramount might finally be ready for its redemption arc. But like any good drama, there’ll be tension.

🎬 Stay tuned.


🚨 Disclaimer:

We love Wall Street (the movie), but Paramount didn’t produce it — 20th Century Fox did. This is not financial advice. It’s just a second opinion — and yes, we’re billing your sense of humor. Please invest responsibly. Or irresponsibly, but don’t say we didn’t warn you. 😉


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