Stock Price: $73.21 (+1.41 / +1.96%) as of April 16, 2025
Ticker: DLTR
P/E: 15.17 | Forward P/E: 13.94
Market Mood: Value hunters sniffing around, and insiders buying like it’s a Black Friday sale.

🕵️♂️ Who’s Buying?

Turns out, insiders aren’t window shopping—they’re filling their carts:

• Stewart Glendinning, CFO 🧠💼, bought 17,000 shares at $72.75, dropping a cool $1.24 million on April 14.

• William Douglas III, Director 🧓📊, swiped 7,500 shares at $69.44, for a hearty $520,822 investment on April 2.

📦 That’s not chump change. And they’re not alone. Institutions own a mind-blowing 103.74% of the float (yes, that’s technically possible—hello, short sellers 👋).

Big players include:

• 🦅 Vanguard (10.9%)

• 🐘 BlackRock (7.28%)

• 💼 T. Rowe Price, Mantle Ridge, State Street, and Capital International Investors

🏪 Why the Hype Over This Dollar Dynamo?

Here’s why Wall Street’s shopping at Dollar Tree:

1️⃣ Inflation Makes People Cheap (and Proud)

When prices go up, consumers trade down—and where do they land? DLTR’s aisles, of course. The company serves up discounts that make even inflation blush. 📉💸

2️⃣ Family Dollar? Family Drama’s Over

DLTR ditched Family Dollar like last year’s fashion trend 👋🧺. This lets them simplify, refocus, and (hopefully) grow profits again.

3️⃣ Valuation Looks... Discounted Enough

At a forward P/E of 13.94, this is no dollar menu deal—but it’s also not overpriced sushi either 🍣🚫.

4️⃣ “More Choices” = More Dough

DLTR now sells items from $1.25 to $7, so it’s not just toothpaste and plastic dinosaurs anymore—it’s… gourmet toothpaste and bigger plastic dinosaurs? 🎯🍿

🧾 Financial Highlights (a.k.a. Let’s Get Nerdy)

For the 52 weeks ended Feb 1, 2025 (with Family Dollar officially evicted):

📈 Net Sales: $17.6B (+4.7%)
🚶♂️ Same-Store Sales: +1.8% (driven by more traffic)
💵 Gross Profit: $6.3B (margin flat at 35.8%)
🧾 SG&A: Up a bit, eating into margins
📉 Operating Income: $1.5B (down 17.6%)
💸 Net Income (Adjusted): $1.1B or $5.10 per share
🧺 Shares Repurchased: 3.3 million for $403.6M
💳 Debt/Equity: 0.32 — reasonable, not scary

So yes, revenue is growing steadily. Profits? A bit under pressure. But DLTR is staying lean and mean—and they’ve got cash in the drawer.

📊 The Forecast: Can DLTR Deliver?

Dollar Tree expects $18.5B–$19.1B in 2025 sales and 3%–5% same-store sales growth. That’s decent, not dazzling—but enough to get value investors chewing gum and calculating CAGR at the same time. 🧮🍬

⚠️ The Risks (Cue Dramatic Music) 🎻

1. DLTR Still Needs to Prove It Can Grow in a Tough Economy 📉

2. Shares Are “Fairly Priced” (a.k.a. Not quite on Clearance but close enough) 💵😅

3. It’s Near Its 52-Week Low ⬇️—cheap can get cheaper if sentiment stays sour and the market turns relentlessly bearish.

🛍️ Final Thoughts: DLTR’s Discount Strategy Might Work for Your Portfolio Too

Dollar Tree is no moonshot, but it’s no dud either. With a reasonable valuation, insider buying, and a shift toward higher-ticket items, this discount retailer could quietly deliver solid long-term gains.

💰 Like the store it runs, DLTR might not make you rich overnight—but it could surprise you with how much value you get for your money.

📉 Just don’t expect fireworks. Unless you’re shopping for 4th of July sparklers at DLTR.

🔒 Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. We’re not Warren Buffett. We do eat or shop at Dollar Tree sometimes… for the jokes, mostly.